14. maj 2016

Week 30 Superliga previews

FC Midtjylland-SønderjyskE
Saturday 14/5 18.00
FC Midtjylland are not all to impressing at the moment. They have the squad for 2nd place, but the performances have been of very unstable. Are the defending champions fully committed at the moment? It does not seem like it. SønderjyskE are heading towards a spectacular 2nd place. They have had luck on their side in many matches this season, but they are also incredibly committed and hard working. Vital winger Absalonsen returns from ban, so SønderjyskE should be able to field the strongest side.

FC Midtjylland are clearly stronger, but their current form is not impressive and SønderjyskE are difficult to beat. I prefer the away side here.

Recommendation: 2 (AH +0.5) – 2.00 at Bet365

OB-Hobro
Sunday 15/5 14.00
OB need an excellent run to clinch European qualification. It is unlikely, but this is definitely a must-win match. OB are very strong offensively with Falk, Festersen and Jacobsen, but they have also done way better in 2016 defensively. Hobro have been playing fairly well in many matches of late. However, they lack some luck and confidence in the decisive situation. They concede goals too easily and they don’t believe in themselves when they are in front of goal. With some confidence they should be able to gain points, but will they ever get it?

I think the odds for the home win are all too low, but I have really had a bad hand betting on Hobro this season. Nevertheless, it would be my preference here.

Idea: 2 (AH +1.5) – 1.825 at Bet365

Viborg-Randers
Monday 16/5 13.00
Match without importance, but who is the strongest? Viborg seem somewhat weaker when key offensive cards, Akharraz and Deble, are injured. Deble could return here, which would be a major boost. If not, it is clear that Viborg have serious difficulties offensively. Randers are playing fairly well in 2016, but they have been unlucky in some matches, most recently against Brøndby. I think they are producing a lot and at the same time, they are really difficult to create chances against.

If Deble are out here, Randers look like a solid bet as they should be significantly stronger. If Deble is in, we have a way more even match. I pick Randers and hope Deble will miss another match. If Deble is playing you should pick Viborg at the current odds (3.10)

Idea: 2 – 2.50 at Tipico

FC Copenhagen-FC Nordsjælland
Monday 16/5 16.00
If SønderjyskE slip up, FC Copenhagen can take the title with a win here. Therefore, the home side will definitely be the most motivated here. They did well in Aalborg despite several defensive absences. FC Copenhagen are undoubtedly the best side this year, and they can dominate an opponent like FC Nordsjælland with superior physique. FC Nordsjælland seem to be testing the squad ahead of next season, why they are using several youngsters. They have nothing to play for. Defender Gregor is out due to a ban.

FC Copenhagen should win here and even though they are normally pretty conservative in terms of going for big wins, I believe they should take this by more than one due to massive difference in motivation and quality.

Idea: 1 (0-1) – 2.10 at Tipico

Esbjerg-Brøndby
Monday 16/5 18.00
Esbjerg are not playing well. They are perhaps even poorer than Hobro currently. They cannot create anything offensively, and the defensive part is not impressive apart from goalkeeper Højbjerg. The squad has many injuries and a lot of players heading for an exit and at the same time Esbjerg have nothing to play for. Central midfielder and influential veteran Jørgensen is banned. Important striker Schwartz returns from ban. Brøndby are not impressive either, but they at least have something to play for. Brøndby have really been playing poorly in many away matches, but maybe the great chance of European qualification can motivate the players to do better. The away win in Randers in midweek showed quality despite Brøndby being quite efficiency. Important defender Larsson could be out with injury.

I pick the away side due to difference in motivation and Esbjerg’s poor run.

Idea: 2 – 2.25 at Tipico

AGF-AaB
Tuesday 17/5 19.00
AGF finally got the long awaiting win in 2016 when beating Esbjerg 5-1. AGF have deserved more wins, but lacked efficiency. The result has been many draws. AGF don’t have much to play for as such, but head coach Riddersholm is very focused on taking the remainder of the season seriously to build-up the right mentality for the next season. AGF should be able to select the strongest eleven. AaB suffered a disappointing loss to FC Copenhagen last round. They were without central midfielder Risgaard who is crucial, but he should return from sickness here. AaB have a lot to play for, but their performances are quite volatile. AaB should be able to field the strongest side too.

AaB are the better side and have more motivation, but I think AGF can do well with the strongest side on own turf. I actually think the home side is worth a shot as a pretty significant outsider.


Tip of the Week: 1 (AH +0.25) – 1.90 at Bet365

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