Hobro-AaB preview

Friday 24/7 18.00

Hobro (12th) got off to a terrible start with a clear 3-0 loss in OB. Last season they performed way above expectations, but this season has so far been hampered by departures and injuries. The most important absence is Mads Hvilsom who scored 16 out of 40 Hobro goals last season. His efficiency was a big part of Hobro’s success. Two other big parts were the departed central midfielder Martin Thomsen and the injured striker Quincy Antipas. Hobro have made some new signings, but they are not particularly impressive and they look quite weak, especially offensively. AaB (6th) got a decent start with a fair 1-1 result at home against Esbjerg in a match with lots of action. AaB were without the vital midfielder Kasper Risgård (should return here), but in his absence the young Oliver Abildgaard impressed in his starting debut with a goal and six attempts on goal. Offensively, they seem to suffer a bit from the absence of Anders K. Jacobsen who is not among the coach’s favourites after signing a future contract with OB. However, the midfield is very strong and capable of creating many opportunities as in the match against Esbjerg. AaB have some injury problems in defence, where Patrick Kristensen and Kasper Pedersen are out, which makes the left back a weak spot with the new-signed Jukka Raitala.

Hobro need to rebuild the foundation created last season and based on the first match, there seems to be quite a distance. AaB look at around same level as last season and will probably get superior support due to the proximity of the two clubs. We believe AaB should win this match-up at least 50% of the time, why there should be value in the away win.

Recommendation: 2 – 2.00 at Bet365