29. sep. 2015

AaB-SønderjyskE preview


Sunday 4/10 13.30
AaB (8th) have been quite unpredictable this season. One weekend they smash Brøndby, the next they lose in Viborg. I still believe they have a strong starting eleven and they are expected to field the strongest team here with Jakob Ahlmann returning on the left back. When they get the attacks rolling on home soil, they are really difficult to handle. However, that could prove difficult against a really solid defence of SønderjyskE that have only conceded 9 goals in 10 matches. AaB are expected to line-up with only one true striker in Lukas Spalvis with Thomas Enevoldsen lurking behind him. SønderjysKE (2nd) are performing way above expectations. They have been cruelly efficient (leads league with a scoring percent of 41% of every shot on target), and despite having Mr. Efficient (Thomas Dalgaard) as striker, I doubt they can sustain this high level of efficiency. They do not give away much though and they are dangerous when allowed to counter-attack as they play very directly. Still, I don’t think the general quality of the team is worth a top 4 position. They will be without regular winger Troels Kløve who left the last match with a serious injury.

Early market undoubtedly had some value in SønderjyskE. Now the case is less clear cut. Normally, I would take odds 2.15 for AaB in strongest formation to beat SønderjyskE, but SønderjyskE are really brimming with confidence at the moment. At the same time, their very compact midfield could give AaB serious problems. AaB should be well aware of SønderjyskE’s counter-attacking abilities and avoid risking the ball in dangerous situations. So good potential for a deadlock and the idea pick here will be few goals in the match, although the two teams historically play matches with many goals (therefore only idea pick).

Idea: Under 2.5 – 1.99 at Nordicbet

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