Silkeborg-FC Copenhagen preview

Monday 13/4 19.00

Silkeborg (12th) are last, but they have really boosted their points score in 2015. In six matches, they have tripled their total points from 2014. However, they have been incredibly efficient, and not as significantly better as results might suggest. They have scored 11 goals in 18 shots on target; 61.1% of their shots on target – league average is 30.3%. This efficiency is unsustainably high and Silkeborg are likely to get fewer points when the efficiency reverts to normal. They have an unspectacular team, and they survive on counter-attacks with Nicolaj Agger as the main weapon. Important central midfielder Daniel A. Pedersen is set to return, while Emil Scheel is doubtful. FC Copenhagen (2nd) lack some offensive power. This appears to be their main issue at the moment. However, their key offensive midfielder Nicolai Jørgensen returns from suspension, which should boost the offensive production compared to the last match. Defensively they are rock solid. They have recorded the fewest shots on target allowed in 2015 (21), and they have only conceded goals in four out of the last 13 matches. No reported injuries, so this is really a must-win match for FC Copenhagen, and the pitch in Silkeborg looks good for football.

Silkeborg have been beating the odds until now in 2015, and we do not see them continuing this much longer. Their production of chances is simply not in line with the results. FC Copenhagen are a solid team, and should be much better than Silkeborg. They have no injuries or suspended players. They dominated the match completely when they met them last time in Silkeborg, although the match ended 0-0 (without Jørgensen in the line-up). They should dominate and win this match too, and we doubt seeing Silkeborg scoring.

Tip of the Week: 2 (AH -0.75) – 1.91 at Unibet

Idea: Silkeborg not to score – 2.10 at Tipico

UPDATE: Scheel is out for Silkeborg, while FC Copenhagen are without rotation winger Rurik Gislason. Believe this bet is looking really solid! 

UPDATE v2: Line-ups suggest that the bet is far from solid. FC Copenhagen resting some regulars due to a midweek cup match, quite surprising disposition. Furthermore, Jørgensen is out due to sickness, so limited quality in the FC Copenhagen offense. Hedge if you can.