Randers-FC Vestsjælland preview

Saturday 11/4 17.00

Randers (3rd) have not won five consecutive matches, and the 3rd place has started to come under heavy pressure. They have perhaps needed some luck, but they have surely not played as team deserving a 3rd place. In the last match, they were without captain Keller, and it was very visible that he was needed to organise the midfield after Randers took the lead (eventually tied 1-1 versus AaB). Keller is reported doubtful, and we would be surprised to see him return just yet. Furthermore, central defender Mads Agesen is once again suspended (fifth time this season). In his absence, the young Jeppe Tverskov is expected to get a start, and he has looked competent. FC Vestsjælland (11th) are back in the survival race after a crucial 2-1 win in Odense, which was very deserved. In the last two matches, FC Vestsjælland have looked reborn, perhaps due to the return of strong left back Michael Lumb, who returned after an absence of almost a year. Nevertheless, they look more solid defensively, and have some nice offensive weapons in Festersen and Vellios. Eggert Jonsson returns from suspension, but after the fine performance of Henrik Madsen and Jan Kristiansen in the last match, he has probably lost his midfield spot.

This looks like a must win match for Randers. At home against the league’s worst away team. However, with the absences and poor recent showings, it could easily become a more difficult match than expected. FC Vestsjælland have found some confidence and appear to be experiencing an upswing in form. Randers should be favourites, they do have a better team, but the bookies could be overestimating them here.

Recommendation: 2 (AH +1) – 1.91 at Unibet

UPDATE: Keller is set to play, which is clearly to the advantage of the home team. Odds have also dropped on our recommendation (1.825 at Bet365 for instance), not really value left.